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The
worldwide credit crunch is likely to have a major impact
on almost every market in the next few years. A cyclical
downturn in world pump markets was being doubted by few
industry experts even before the present financial
turmoil.
A
greater downturn in capital investment is likely than it
was during previous recessions. The current recession is
expected to result in a slowdown in GDP growth, but a
bigger fall in capital investment in 2009-‘10 compared
with 2001-’02 is likely.
Total
world pump market as per the EIF report is US$ 28950 Mn.,
out of which, the Water/Wastewater market for industrial
and municipal use is 34%.
Present market segments of water resources
management are water supply, water treatment, waste
water treatment and desalination.
Water
and wastewater treatment is a large market for pumps,
with radically different market drivers for the advanced
industrial countries compared with the developing
countries.
In
the case of the industrialized countries there are two
major related factors. The first is the importance of
environmental legislation in recent years and the second
is the trend towards privatization of municipal
utilities. The latter has also led to growing horizontal
integration of privately owned gas, electricity and
water companies.
Developing
countries have fundamentally different market
characteristics. Those with natural resources or
dynamism which supports the growth of export revenue are
able to afford the cost without entirely having to
depend on international aid: examples are China,
Malaysia, India, oil exporters in the Middle East, etc.
Many other
developing countries,
and particularly
those in
Africa, depend almost entirely
on international aid to support
investment in water and sewerage infrastructure.
In these economies, if the system is not transparent, it
not only keeps the countries starved of necessary
investment, it has also inhibited the growth of funding
in the short term. The recent large increase in food
prices has also reduced the international aid available
for water and sewage projects, since the food aid takes
a larger share of aid budgets.
In
the industrialized world the USA is the largest market
(US$ 1838 Mn), followed
by Japan (US$ 1397 Mn) and Germany
(US$ 954 Mn) for pumps in Water sector.
Japan has had a massive municipal
investment program in recent years,
which is now unwinding
since water
and sewerage standards have now reached new
levels in other advanced industrial countries.
China
(US$ 960 Mn) is the largest pump market in the
developing world water sector, followed by India (US$
276 Mn)
Western
Europe, Japan and USA-Canada account for a very high
proportion of the Water/ Wastewater Treatment. Some
developing countries with low income levels are, in
aggregate, a significant market for pumps in water and
sewerage because of the importance of international aid.
Recession
in West Europe, USA/Canada and Japan is expected to cut
demand. However, growth is expected in the Middle East,
China and India.
The
major players in pump manufacturing in domestic market
are Kirloskar Brothers Limited (KBL), WPIL, Mather &
Platt (WILO), Jyoti and Flowmore today while in global
market are, KBL, Hoysung Ebara, MHI, KUBOTO and CLYDE
(WEIR).
The
major players in water infrastructure projects in India
are L&T, SPML, IVRCL, RAMKEY, NCCI and KBL.
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